Super Bowl Odds 2024: Odds To Win Super Bowl 58

While some of the league’s top teams fall off, the Kansas City Chiefs remain in the top spot on the Super Bowl oddsboards, looking to repeat as NFL champions in 2024.

Below, we’ve got a look at the latest Super Bowl 58 odds with some of our best bets and sleeper predictions:

Who Is Favored To Win The 2023-2024 Super Bowl

Odds To Win NFL – Super Bowl LVIII 2023-24
Team Odds
Kansas City Chiefs +450
San Francisco 49ers +450
Philadelphia Eagles +550
Baltimore Ravens +750
Miami Dolphins +900
Dallas Cowboys +1000
Detroit Lions +1000
Jacksonville Jaguars +1600
Buffalo Bills +2200
Cleveland Browns +4000
Seattle Seahawks +4500
Houston Texans +5000
Minnesota Vikings +6000
New Orleans Saints +6600
Pittsburgh Steelers +6600
LA Chargers +8000
Cincinnati Bengals +10000
Denver Broncos +10000
Atlanta Falcons +15000
Green Bay Packers +15000
LA Rams +20000
NY Jets +20000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +20000
Indianapolis Colts +25000
Las Vegas Raiders +25000
Tennessee Titans +50000
Washington Commanders +50000
Chicago Bears +100000
NY Giants +100000
Arizona Cardinals +150000
New England Patriots +150000
Carolina Panthers +200000

Odds as of November 20th, 2023 13:45pm EST.

Are We Heading For a Chiefs/Eagles Rematch?

The last few weeks have been messy for some of the NFL’s top teams. The Bills have struggled, the Bengals lost Joe Burrow for the entire season, and the 49ers have waffled back and forth. But, the two constants at the top of these Super Bowl odds remain: Philadelphia and Kansas City. 

Neither Philly nor KC have played perfect football yet this season — the Eagles struggle to stop the pass and Kansas City’s offensive weapons have been quiet, beyond Travis Kelce. But, if the two 2023 Super Bowl finalists can round into form down the stretch, I wouldn’t bet against a rematch.

Super Bowl Odds: Risers And Fallers

The same few teams have stayed at the top of the 2023-24 Super Bowl odds for most of the season. But, beyond that top tier there has been some significant movement lately:

Riser: Houston Texans

The Texans opened this NFL season with +20,000 odds to win the Super Bowl. Only the Cardinals had worse implied chances.

Almost three months later, they’ve chipped away at those odds, climbed the table, and now sit with a realistic shot to make the playoffs and the chance to dream on a deep run.

Sure this Houston team is still deeply flawed. But they’ve got an offense built around Offensive Rookie of the Year favorite CJ Stroud, a stable of young receivers, and dynamic playmakers like Derek Stingley and Will Anderson on defense. It may not all come together this year, but the future is bright in Houston.

Faller: Cincinnati Bengals

With the news of Joe Burrow’s season-ending wrist injury, the Bengals’ Super Bowl odds have tumbled. After a tough start to the season, the Bengals clawed back into contention and say with +1000 title odds (fifth in the NFL) prior to Week 10. After Burrow’s injury in Week 11, they’ve fallen all the way down to +12500 — and maybe dropping further.

Without their $300-million quarterback, the Bengals’ 2023-24 chances are basically toast. They’re especially screwed because of the strength of the AFC North. All three other teams (Steelers, Browns, Ravens) have winning records right now, and all three sit within the top-half of the league in Super Bowl odds.

Super Bowl LVIII Odds Best Bet: Baltimore Ravens

Basically everything has gone right for the Ravens this year. After an offseason of getting healthy, coaching changes, and finally signing some real NFL receivers, Super Bowl hopes are high in Maryland.

The Ravens do have some bad losses to the Steelers, Colts, and Browns, but they’ve consistently flashed title upside. Just look to Baltimore’s 38-6 win over the Lions. They displayed the elite defense we know the Ravens always have, plus a dynamic new offense from OC Todd Monken.

With Burrow out of the picture for the rest of the season, Lamar Jackson has a chance to steal the AFC North crown and win some playoff games.

Exact Super Bowl Matchup Odds

Super Bowl 58 Exact Matchup Odds
Matchup Odds
Chiefs vs 49ers +800
Chiefs vs Eagles +900
Chiefs vs Lions +1400
Chiefs vs Cowboys +1400
Ravens vs 49ers +1500
Ravens vs Eagles +1500
Dolphins vs Eagles +1700
Ravens vs Lions +2500
Ravens s Cowboys +2500
Dolphins vs Lions +2500
Dolphins vs Cowboys +2500
Jaguars vs 49ers +3000

Odds as of November 20th, 2023

It shouldn’t be all too surprising that the books see the 49ers, Eagles, and Chiefs as the most likely Super Bowl candidates this season. The three teams are right at the top of 2024 Super Bowl odds, with MVP candidates at key positions and solid starts to the season.

The thing is: chaos. Every season, a few teams we expect to dominate don’t even make the playoffs and a few expected bottom-feeders sneak into the postseason. Sure, maybe 49ers vs. Chiefs is the most likely Super Bowl LVIII tilt, but it’s by no means a certain outcome.

Last 10 Super Bowl Champions

Recent Super Bowl Champs and Preseason Odds
Year Team Preseason Odds Result
2023 (57) Kansas City Chiefs +600 Chiefs 38 – Eagles 35
2022 (56) Los Angeles Rams +1200 Rams 23 – Bengals 20
2021 (55) Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1000 Buccaneers 31 – Chiefs 9
2020 (54) Kansas City Chiefs +600 Chiefs 31 – 49ers 20
2019 (53) New England Patriots +600 Patriots 13 – Rams 3
2018 (52) Philadelphia Eagles +4000 Eagles 41 – Patriots 33
2017 (51) New England Patriots +600 Patriots 34 – Falcons 28
2016 (50) Denver Broncos +900 Broncos 24 – Panthers 10
2015 (49) New England Patriots +650 Patriots 28 – Seahawks 24
2014 (48) Seattle Seahawks +800 Seahawks 43 – Broncos 8

It’s no surprise that recent Super Bowl history has been dominated by Tom Brady. The star QB has won four of the last 10 Super Bowls (three with New England, one with Tampa Bay) and consistently led his squads deep into the playoffs.

The biggest recent Super Bowl underdog was the 2017 Eagles, who beat Brady’s Patriots in the final. They even did so after their No. 1 QB, Carson Wentz, went down with an injury late in the season. Backup Nick Foles took over under center and earned Super Bowl MVP honors to deliver great preseason odds value to Philly’s Super Bowl 52 bettors.

NFL Teams with the Most Super Bowls

Super Bowl Wins
Team Super Bowl Wins Super Bowl Appearances Last Win
New England Patriots 6 11 2018
Pittsburgh Steelers 6 8 2008
San Francisco 49ers 5 7 1994
Dallas Cowboys 5 8 1995
Green Bay Packers 4 5 2010
New York Giants 4 5 2011
Las Vegas Raiders 3 5 1983
Washington Commanders 3 5 1991
Denver Broncos 3 8 2015
Kansas City Chiefs 3 5 2023
Baltimore Ravens 2 2 2012
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2 2 2020
Indianapolis Colts 2 4 2006
Miami Dolphins 2 5 1973
New Orleans Saints 1 1 2009
New York Jets 1 1 1968
Chicago Bears 1 2 1985
Philadelphia Eagles 1 4 2017
Los Angeles Rams 1 3 2021
Seattle Seahawks 1 3 2013

The Steelers and Patriots dominate the history of the Super Bowl. They’ve appeared in 19 of the 57 Super Bowls, winning six each. There is some decent NFL parity, though, with 20 teams claiming a title all-time.

NFL Teams that have never won a Super Bowl

The 12 teams that have never won a Super Bowl are:

  • Buffalo Bills (four Super Bowl appearances)
  • Minnesota Vikings (4)
  • Atlanta Falcons (2)
  • Carolina Panthers (2)
  • Cincinnati Bengals (2)
  • Arizona Cardinals (1)
  • Tennessee Titans (1)
  • Los Angeles Chargers (1)
  • Cleveland Browns (0)
  • Detroit Lions (0)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (0)
  • Houston Texans (0)

Super Bowl Betting Trends

How to Bet on Super Bowl 58

When it comes to betting on the NFL, odds are available before teams take their first regular-season snaps. You can even bet on a potential Super Bowl winner in August. Certain squads will always be contenders, especially if they won the previous year.

When sportsbooks set the lines, they look at offseason roster moves, coaching changes and past on-field performance. To bet on Super Bowl odds, you’d make a futures bet.

Where to bet on the Super Bowl

You can find updated Super Bowl 58 odds at most sportsbooks. If you’re looking for recommendations on how to choose the best book for you, head over to our NFL sites review page.

How To Read Super Bowl Futures Odds

A Super Bowl Futures bet is a wager in which you would look at the Super Bowl odds weeks or sometimes months in advance of the big game, and decide which team you think will win. Let’s say you want to make a futures bet today. At your sportsbook of choice, the Super Bowl odds might look something like this:

  • Kansas City Chiefs -300
  • New Orleans Saints +550
  • Green Bay Packers +900
  • Buffalo Bills +1000
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1100

If this were a moneyline bet, you’d be able to see which team is the clear favorite because it would have a minus sign beside its moneyline odds (-). For Super Bowl futures, the team with the lowest Super Bowl odds is favored to win the NFL championship, and the rest are underdogs.

Let’s say you feel strongly about the Saints and believe they’re going to win it all. If you were to bet $100 on them and they did triumph, you’d get a payout of $650 – your original $100 is returned along with your winnings of $550. Our Super Bowl Odds Calculator will show you how much you’d win based on the odds and amount bet.

The Super Bowl odds change throughout the season as key players get injured, trades happen and coaches get fired. Line movements for NFL futures happen weekly, so if you see Super Bowl odds you like, it’s best to bet on them ASAP. The Packers may be +900 to win the Super Bowl in October but after a surge in November their Super Bowl odds could jump to +400 and you’ll make less money than you would if you’d bet them at +900.

Carryovers: $15,964 Pick 5 at Monmouth, $3,828 Super High 5 at Ellis

Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares horses to bet in a pair of Saturday carryovers at Monmouth Park and Ellis Park.

Monmouth Park, Race 1: $15,964 Pick 5 carryover (12:40 p.m. ET)

The 50-cent Early Pick 5 at Monmouth Park has tossed up an enticing non-jackpot carryover worth $15,964 for Saturday’s card.

A competitive sequence is on tap, with each of the five races containing at least eight horses before scratches. But a possible single can be found in Race 3, a maiden special weight for two-year-old fillies racing one mile on turf.

Since 2021, four-time Eclipse Award-winning trainer Chad Brown has gone 3-for-8 (38%) debuting juveniles in turf routes at Monmouth, which includes a 2-for-4 (50%) record with fillies. Brown is debuting a couple of fillies in Saturday’s field, and the most promising appears to be #11 Spendalot (7-2), who sold for $650,000 as a yearling.

A daughter of successful stallion More Than Ready (who has sired many high-class turf runners) out of Siempre Mia (previously the dam of Consumer Spending, a three-time graded stakes winner on grass), Spendalot is bred to shine on turf. She enters off a lengthy string of workouts (including half a mile over the Saratoga training track turf course) and appears well-spotted to win on debut.

We’ll single Spendalot in the middle leg of the Pick 5.

Ellis Park, Race 2: $3,828 Super High 5 carryover (1:17 p.m. ET)

Saturday’s second race at Ellis Park features a $3,828 carryover in the $1 Super High 5. Winning a share won’t be easy, because Race 2 is a six-furlong maiden special weight for two-year-old fillies featuring 12 horses in the main body of the field plus two on the also-eligible list.

There are many viable contenders, but if you want to use a live longshot, try #2 Gloriette (15-1). In her debut sprinting 4 1/2 furlongs at Keeneland, the daughter of Munnings finished sixth behind runaway winner Youalmosthadme, who came back to beat males in the Kentucky Juvenile S.

Gloriette subsequently improved in a five-furlong maiden special weight at Churchill Downs, finishing fourth behind V V’s Dream while earning a respectable 78 Brisnet Speed rating. V V’s Dream came back to run second in the Debutante S. at Ellis Park.

The par winning Brisnet Speed rating for Saturday’s conditions is 78, so Gloriette has already run fast enough to win a race like this. Perhaps she’ll find the competition easier and vie for a top-five finish alongside the fast-working #1 Wampus Kitten (9-2), the promising Ellis Park maiden special weight runner-up #5 Bella Haze (7-2), and the Brad Cox-trained second-time starter #7 Sweet Mimi (6-1).

Good luck!