Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares horses to bet in a pair of Saturday carryovers at Monmouth Park and Ellis Park.
Monmouth Park, Race 1: $15,964 Pick 5 carryover (12:40 p.m. ET)
The 50-cent Early Pick 5 at Monmouth Park has tossed up an enticing non-jackpot carryover worth $15,964 for Saturday’s card.
A competitive sequence is on tap, with each of the five races containing at least eight horses before scratches. But a possible single can be found in Race 3, a maiden special weight for two-year-old fillies racing one mile on turf.
Since 2021, four-time Eclipse Award-winning trainer Chad Brown has gone 3-for-8 (38%) debuting juveniles in turf routes at Monmouth, which includes a 2-for-4 (50%) record with fillies. Brown is debuting a couple of fillies in Saturday’s field, and the most promising appears to be #11 Spendalot (7-2), who sold for $650,000 as a yearling.
A daughter of successful stallion More Than Ready (who has sired many high-class turf runners) out of Siempre Mia (previously the dam of Consumer Spending, a three-time graded stakes winner on grass), Spendalot is bred to shine on turf. She enters off a lengthy string of workouts (including half a mile over the Saratoga training track turf course) and appears well-spotted to win on debut.
We’ll single Spendalot in the middle leg of the Pick 5.
Ellis Park, Race 2: $3,828 Super High 5 carryover (1:17 p.m. ET)
Saturday’s second race at Ellis Park features a $3,828 carryover in the $1 Super High 5. Winning a share won’t be easy, because Race 2 is a six-furlong maiden special weight for two-year-old fillies featuring 12 horses in the main body of the field plus two on the also-eligible list.
There are many viable contenders, but if you want to use a live longshot, try #2 Gloriette (15-1). In her debut sprinting 4 1/2 furlongs at Keeneland, the daughter of Munnings finished sixth behind runaway winner Youalmosthadme, who came back to beat males in the Kentucky Juvenile S.
Gloriette subsequently improved in a five-furlong maiden special weight at Churchill Downs, finishing fourth behind V V’s Dream while earning a respectable 78 Brisnet Speed rating. V V’s Dream came back to run second in the Debutante S. at Ellis Park.
The par winning Brisnet Speed rating for Saturday’s conditions is 78, so Gloriette has already run fast enough to win a race like this. Perhaps she’ll find the competition easier and vie for a top-five finish alongside the fast-working #1 Wampus Kitten (9-2), the promising Ellis Park maiden special weight runner-up #5 Bella Haze (7-2), and the Brad Cox-trained second-time starter #7 Sweet Mimi (6-1).