Women’s NCAA Division I Basketball Tournament Betting Preview

March 18, 2024

It was a season for record-breaking in women’s college basketball. Multiple scoring records fell, as did records for television viewership. And now we all turn our attention to what is sure to be an incredible Women’s NCAA Division I Tournament, with the chance for more records.

First Four

The first “First Four” was played on the men’s side in 2011. The women expanded their field in 2022, and since then they’ve also been playing the First Four.

We start things off for the women on Wednesday, with Sacred Heart and Presbyterian playing for the right to be the 16-seed that plays South Carolina in the Round of 64. South Carolina is the runaway favorite to win the entire tournament – college basketball online sportsbooks have them at -120, and the winner on Wednesday night is in for a rough Friday.

Also tipping off on Wednesday is Vanderbilt and Columbia, playing for the right to be a 12-seed. The Commodores are in their first tournament in 10 years, and Columbia, which began playing in the Ivy League in 1986, is in the NCAA Tournament for the first time.

On Thursday, the two games feature Auburn and Arizona playing for the 11-seed, and Holy Cross and Tennessee Martin playing for a 16-seed. The winner of Auburn-Arizona will play Syracuse on Saturday. The Holy Cross-Tennessee Martin winner gets No. 1 seed Iowa.

Caitlin Clark set multiple records this year, including most three-pointers made in one season. The record for career three-pointers made is 537 and held by Taylor Robertson. Iowa online sportsbooks are taking bets on when Clark, who has 520, will break the record and hit three-pointer 538. The betting favorite is the Elite 8, at +200. If she can get there by the second round, the payout is +5000.

Albany 1 Region

As mentioned already, South Carolina is the overwhelming favorite to cut down the nets in Cleveland and win the National Championship. They have an entirely new starting lineup from last year, and they are actually better than last year’s Final Four team.

They are first in the nation in defense, second overall in offense, and they are a perfect 32-0. Notre Dame is the No. 2 seed in the region, and Indiana online sportsbooks have the Irish a distant +4500 to win the tournament.

Albany 2 Region

Iowa is the No. 1 seed in the Albany 2 Region, which includes No. 2 UCLA, No. 3 LSU, and No. 4 Kansas. It’s a tough bracket for the Hawkeyes, and if they do make it back to the Final Four, it will be well-earned. UCLA is one of the deepest teams in the country, and LSU is the defending champion. If things go as planned for the Hawkeyes and Tigers, we’ll see the Caitlin Clark-Angel Reese rematch, with a trip to the Final Four on the line.

Portland 3 Region

USC is the top seed in the Portland 3 Region, and they face Texas A&M-Corpus Christi in the first round. Freshman JuJu Watkins finished as the nation’s second-leading scorer, only trailing Clark. Also in the region is UConn, who, despite losing five players to season-ending injuries, are once again in the national championship conversation. The 11-time national champion is paying +1600 to win another title at Connecticut online sportsbooks.

Portland 4 Region

The final region is Portland 4, and the Texas Longhorns are the top seed. Even after losing point guard Rori Harmon to a torn ACL in December, Texas still managed to win the Big 12 and earn a top seed. Stanford is the two-seed, and they were in the running for the No. 1 until the final day. 

BetUS.com has Clark as the big favorite to win WNBA Rookie of the Year in 2024, paying +400. But if she doesn’t, Stanford’s Cameron Brink is a likely candidate. She was an NCAA champion in 2021, she has twice been the Pac-12 Player of the Year, and most WNBA online sportsbooks have the Los Angeles Sparks selecting her with the No. 2 overall pick in the WNBA Draft, just behind Clark.

Men’s NCAA Division I Basketball Tournament Betting Preview

March 18, 2024

After a great week of conference tournament action, and a final goodbye to the Pac-12 conference, the Men’s NCAA Tournament field is set. On Tuesday, the first of 67 games tips off.

First Four

On Tuesday and Wednesday, we have the First Four, as eight teams compete in four games for the right to play in the final field of 64 teams.

The first game on Tuesday in Dayton, Ohio, is between Wagner and Howard. The winner will be the 16th seed in the West Region and play No. 1 seed North Carolina on Thursday. Wagner is in the tournament for the first time in 21 years, while Howard was a 16-seed last year and lost to Kansas.

The second game Tuesday night is for the 10th seed in the Midwest, as Virginia takes on Colorado State. BetUS.com has the Rams of CSU two-point favorites to advance to the first round on Thursday and play the 7th-seeded Texas Longhorns.

Wednesday’s games feature two other similar battles – Grambling and Montana State play as 16-seeds, with the winner playing the No. 1 seed in the Midwest, Purdue. Colorado and Boise State are 10-seeds, and the winner there will play No. 7 Florida in the South. Grambling is in the NCAA Tournament for the first time since moving to Division I. The Bobcats of Montana State are in the Big Dance for the third straight year.

Final Four Betting Odds

Purdue is the top seed in the Midwest, and college basketball online sportsbooks have the Boilermakers as the heavy favorite to win the region. They are paying +165, while No. 2 seed Tennessee is at +350. The Creighton Blue Jays are the No. 3 seed, and they are +400 to make the Final Four. Kansas is the four-seed and Gonzaga is the five, but it is the Bulldogs who have the fourth-shortest odds in the region at +700.

North Carolina is the top seed in the West Region. However, the newly opened online sportsbooks in the Tar Heel State do not have them as the favorites to advance to the Final Four. UNC is second at +230, and Arizona is first at +190. The Sweet 16 and Elite 8 matchups for the West Region take place at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles.

Baylor is the third-seed and pays +700. Alabama is No. 4 and paying +900 to make a Final Four run.

The defending champion Connecticut Huskies are the top seed in the East Region, and they are big favorites to win it, paying +105. Auburn is the No. 4 seed, and their odds for the Final Four are +380. Iowa State is the two seed, but Iowa retail sportsbooks have them as the third-most likely team to advance. A Final Four bet on the Cyclones pays +400. Illinois, the three seed, is +750.

To no one’s surprise, the Houston Cougars were given the top seed in the South, and they are favorites to win the region at +140. Duke is next, with No. 2 seed Marquette trailing them. Wisconsin retail sportsbooks have the Golden Eagles at +550 and the Blue Devils at +450, despite Duke being just the fourth seed. Kentucky is the No. 3 seed and they are paying +700.

Five versus Twelve Upset

When you fill out your bracket this week, you do have to pick at least one No. 12 seed to beat a No. 5 seed. Otherwise your bracket is incomplete. Or at least ignoring the history of this matchup.

The No. 12 seed is 53-99 all-time in the first round, which is a winning percentage of .349, and at least one 12-seed has won in 17 of the last 22 tournaments.

Bovada.lv provides the odds for the four matchups this year:

No. 12 McNeese State vs. No. 5 Gonzaga (-6.5)

No. 12 UAB vs. No. 5 San Diego State (-6.5)

No. 12 Grand Canyon vs. No. St. Mary’s (-5)

No. 12 James Madison vs. No. 5 Wisconsin (-4.5)

Along with the bookmakers rating James Madison with the best chance for the upset, so do the numbers. JMU is one of just four teams this year to win 30 games – they finished the season 31-3. They also head into the first round matchup with the Badgers on a 13-game win streak.

2024 College Basketball Player of the Year Odds: Can Edey Repeat?

College basketball hit the halfway point of its regular season this week, meaning there are still lots of games to go—not to mention tournament play, as teams bid to reach March Madness and ultimately the Final Four. But if sportsbook odds are any indication, the national Player of the Year race has already become a foregone conclusion.

2023-24 Wooden Awards Odds

Odds to win the POY Award
Player Odds
Zach Edey (Purdue) -300
Hunter Dickinson (Kansas) +1000
Kyle Filipowski (Duke) +2000
R.J. Davis (UNC) +2000
Kevin McCullar (Kansas) +2000
Tristen Newton (UConn) +2500
Tyson Walker (Michigan St.) +2800
Armando Bacot (UNC) +3000
Caleb Love (Arizona) +3000
Tyler Kolek (Marquette) +3500

Purdue center Zach Edey, bidding to become the first back-to-back recipient of the John R. Wooden Award since Ralph Sampson in the early 1980s, is now such a favorite that he’s become a negative moneyline play at most sportsbooks. Odds of Edey repeating as Wooden Award winner are now around -300, which means a sports bettor would have to wager $300 to earn $100 in winnings should Edey claim the honor for a second consecutive year.

Edey, who entered this week averaging 22.2 points and 10.6 rebounds per game, has gradually tightened his grip on the Player of the Year award as the season has gone on. The Purdue big man opened at odds of around +155. After leading the Boilermakers to the title in the toughest Maui Invitational field ever, those odds moved to +130. Now they’re in negative territory, well ahead of those of No. 2 odds choice Hunter Dickinson of Kansas, who can be found at +600 to +1000, depending on the sportsbook.

Even though the top-ranked Boilermakers suffered their second loss of the season Tuesday night at Nebraska, Edey has scored in double-figures every game this season and has posted nine double-doubles, tied for sixth nationally. He ranks eighth nationally in scoring, 11th nationally in rebounding, and 15th nationally in field goal percentage. While he was held to just two points in the first half against the Cornhuskers, he hasn’t really had a bad game.

And the winning has certainly helped Edey cement himself as Player of the Year odds frontrunner. Now, could that change? Purdue has tough road games at Wisconsin, Illinois and Ohio State coming up in the back half of its Big 10 schedule. It would likely take some upset losses, and some of those opponents shutting Edey down—which to this point, hasn’t really happened—for the likes of Dickinson or Duke center Kyle Filipowski to close what’s currently a sizable gap.

The Favorite: Zach Edey, Purdue

Edey has played at a consistently high level against a schedule that to this point ranks as the second-toughest in the nation, according to the analytical site KenPom.com. But conference play is a different animal—opponents are more familiar, and games are more physical—and that contrast has perhaps been evident in Edey, who had totaled 10 points and 15 boards, and then 15 points and seven boards in back-to-back Big 10 games through Tuesday. 

Those are very good numbers, to be certain, but not quite the 28 and 15 he was putting up with regularity back in November and December. The conference grind takes a toll on everybody, and Edey’s hold on Player of the Year frontrunner odds may hinge on whether he can maintain a form that produced double-doubles in 11 of his final 14 games last season.

The Challenger

Who might challenge Edey in becoming this year’s college basketball player of the year?

Hunter Dickinson, Kansas

Kansas has one of the worst cover rates of any team in the Top 25, continuing to win games that are closer than they should be. But that’s not the fault of Dickinson, a Michigan transfer who’s thrived in Bill Self’s offense, where he’s surrounded by great supportive players who can take the pressure off the big man in the middle. Dickinson hit for 30 points and 11 boards in a close win last weekend over TCU, emblematic of the type of contribution he’s making night in and night out.

Dickinson entered the week with averages of 19.4 points and 12.4 rebounds, and double-doubles in seven of his last nine games. He plays well in transition, shoots well from the outside, and can be unstoppable when he gets the ball down low. Dickinson plays in a deeper league than Edeydoes, and has more marquee games against ranked opponents still ahead of him. It will take more 30/11 nights against the likes of Baylor and Houston to make this Player of the Year race more interesting than it is now.

The Dark Horse

If you’re looking at making a big splash on the oddsboard, maybe consider this UConn Guard.

Armando Bacot, North Carolina

Guard R.J. Davis may lead North Carolina in scoring, but it’s big man Bacot who makes the Tar Heels go. The 6-11, 240-pound Bacot has proven an impossible matchup in the ACC, where he’s able to overpower interior defenders and get high-quality shots. In his previous two games entering the week, Bacot had not only notched double-doubles, but also shot 50 percent or better from the field. His averages—14.9 points and 11.1 rebounds—don’t accurately speak to how valuable he is.

But for Bacot to truly wedge his way into the Player of the Year conversation, he’s going to need more of the 25-point games he’s had just once so far this season. With Davis hitting for 20.6 per game, there’s not really the need for that yet in a weak ACC. But this is a thin Tar Heels roster, and UNC is winning largely behind a two-man game. The idea that Bacot could catch fire like he did at the end of the 2021-22 campaign—when his eight straight double-doubles led the Tar Heels to the national title game—isn’t out of the question.

Last 10 Best College Basketball Players Of The Year

Last 10 NCAA Naismith & wooden POY Award Winners
Year Player School
2022 Oscar Tshiebwe Kentucky
2021 Luka Garza Iowa
2020 Obi Toppin Dayton
2019 Zion Williamson Duke
2018 Jalen Brunson Villanova
2017 Frank Mason III Kansas
2016 Buddy Hield Oklahoma
2015 Frank Kaminsky Wisconsin
2014 Doug McDermott Creighton
2013 Trey Burke Michigan

 

Jalen Brunson, the player of the year from 2018, is having a standout year for the Knicks. In his first season with the Knickerbockers after signing on as a free agent, the former Villanova Wildcat is averaging 23.9 points, 6.2 assists and 3.6 rebounds and has pushed the Knicks into a playoff spot. The Knicks! 

If Brunson’s impact continues, New York could see the playoffs for just the second time in the last 10 seasons. 


How To Read Naismith And Wooden Player Of The Year Odds

If this is your first time betting on NCAA College Basketball Player of the Year odds and you aren’t sure about the difference between the Wooden Award and the Naismith Award, don’t sweat it.

They’re essentially the same individual award but the voting structures are slightly different. The Wooden Award is determined before the NCAA March Madness tournament and voted on by over 1,000 sportswriters across the country, while the Naismith Award is finalized by a board of selectors along with fan voting and is announced in April.


Understanding College Basketball Player Of The Year Odds

At your college basketball sportsbook of choice, you’ll see prop odds to win College Player of the Year listed like so:

Zach Edey -150

Jalen Wilson +500

Brandon Miller +600

When there is no clear favorite due to the lack of a minus sign (-), the player with the lowest odds is the fave. In this case, though, there is a minus-money favorite in Edey. The others are considered underdogs.

If you’re loving Edey at -150 and you bet $100 on him, you’d get a payout of $166.67 – your original money is returned coupled with your winnings of $66.67. To see what you’d win based on the odds and the amount you bet, check out our odds calculator.